Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Beniers 47.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 63.0%
Defensive zone
Cozens 52.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 56.7%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Cozens
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Cozens
Beniers
Last 9: Cozens 6-3 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Cozens
Beniers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
5
1
Cozens
Beniers
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
47.3% (945)
-0.6%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
51.7% (145)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
23.8% (21)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Cozens
Beniers
Home
46.2% (567)
49.6% (565)
Away
44.9% (579)
45.2% (546)
By Period
Cozens
Beniers
P1
46.5%
48.0%
P2
46.5%
49.0%
P3
44.2%
46.5%
OT
22.2%
23.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |