Dylan Cozens vs Mitchell Stephens
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Stephens 52.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 68.3%
Defensive zone
Stephens 62.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 50.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Cozens
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cozens
Stephens
Last 6: Cozens 3-3 Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Stephens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Stephens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
2
Cozens
Stephens
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
57.0% (135)
-5.6%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
0.0% (5)
+50.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
50.0% (54)
-7.6%
On power play, Cozens has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Cozens is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Cozens shoots right. Stephens is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Cozens
Stephens
Home
49.5% (638)
53.9% (89)
Away
51.9% (522)
53.3% (105)
By Period
Cozens
Stephens
P1
51.9%
47.4%
P2
46.4%
57.7%
P3
54.2%
57.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:41 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |