Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.7%). Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Greig 48.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 66.9%
Defensive zone
Greig 71.7%
Neutral zone
Cozens 50.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Cozens
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Cozens
Greig
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
2
Cozens
Greig
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Cozens
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
1
Cozens
Greig
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
48.5% (1,133)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
56.8% (74)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
46.5% (172)
-5.5%
On power play, Greig has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Greig is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Cozens
Greig
Home
48.2% (2,677)
49.8% (681)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Cozens
Greig
P1
49.1%
46.3%
P2
47.7%
51.2%
P3
48.8%
48.8%
OT
34.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |