Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Greig 45.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 53.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 51.2%
Neutral zone
Greig 52.7%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Cozens
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Cozens
Greig
Last 10: Cozens 7-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Greig
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Cozens
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
1
Cozens
Greig
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
45.2% (414)
+1.5%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
28.6% (14)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
28.6% (21)
+13.7%
On power play, Cozens has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Greig is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Cozens
Greig
Home
46.2% (567)
46.4% (196)
Away
44.9% (579)
41.9% (253)
By Period
Cozens
Greig
P1
46.5%
40.8%
P2
46.5%
46.4%
P3
44.2%
43.9%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |