Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fabbri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Fabbri 47.4% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fabbri 70.5%
Defensive zone
Cozens 61.7%
Neutral zone
Fabbri 53.0%
Result
Robby Fabbri favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Cozens
Fabbri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cozens
Fabbri
Last 7: Cozens 3-4 Fabbri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
0
3
Cozens
Fabbri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
1
Cozens
Fabbri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
45.4% (531)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
53.0% (168)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
42.9% (28)
-1.9%
On even strength, Cozens has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Fabbri is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Cozens
Fabbri
Home
48.2% (2,677)
48.6% (368)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
45.4% (359)
By Period
Cozens
Fabbri
P1
49.1%
44.1%
P2
47.7%
49.0%
P3
48.8%
48.2%
OT
34.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:09 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |