Scouting Report
Robby Fabbri holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Fabbri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Fabbri 54.5% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fabbri 69.8%
Defensive zone
Cozens 80.7%
Neutral zone
Cozens 52.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Cozens
Fabbri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cozens
Fabbri
Last 7: Cozens 3-4 Fabbri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
0
3
Cozens
Fabbri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
1
Cozens
Fabbri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
48.2% (56)
-1.5%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
68.3% (63)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
0.0% (1)
+42.3%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Fabbri is 64.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Cozens
Fabbri
Home
46.2% (567)
56.5% (69)
Away
44.9% (579)
60.8% (51)
By Period
Cozens
Fabbri
P1
46.5%
48.6%
P2
46.5%
60.4%
P3
44.2%
65.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
63.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:09 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |