Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Hintz 58.0% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 62.4%
Defensive zone
Cozens 61.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 62.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Cozens
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Cozens
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
3
Cozens
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
58.7% (530)
-6.1%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
59.4% (170)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
66.7% (27)
-33.4%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. Hintz is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Cozens
Hintz
Home
54.1% (375)
60.2% (354)
Away
52.3% (331)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Cozens
Hintz
P1
55.8%
58.4%
P2
50.6%
59.8%
P3
53.7%
58.2%
OT
40.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:09 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |