Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Colton 51.8% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 63.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 53.4%
Neutral zone
Cozens 52.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Cozens
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Cozens
Colton
Last 9: Cozens 4-5 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Cozens
Colton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Cozens
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
52.7% (524)
-7.1%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
50.9% (53)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
0.0% (4)
+34.5%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Colton is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Cozens
Colton
Home
43.9% (410)
52.9% (291)
Away
47.2% (430)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Cozens
Colton
P1
46.4%
50.6%
P2
41.6%
54.4%
P3
49.4%
51.6%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Ross Colton |