Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs McLeod 47.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 83.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 62.3%
Neutral zone
Cozens 65.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Cozens
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Cozens
McLeod
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Cozens
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
2
Cozens
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
49.2% (796)
+3.4%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
44.8% (87)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.3% (263)
-10.0%
On power play, Cozens has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Cozens
McLeod
Home
54.1% (375)
49.2% (575)
Away
52.3% (331)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Cozens
McLeod
P1
55.8%
52.8%
P2
50.6%
45.1%
P3
53.7%
45.6%
OT
40.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:11 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |