Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs McLeod 48.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 51.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 50.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Cozens
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cozens
McLeod
Last 7: Cozens 4-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Cozens
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
49.0% (500)
+0.4%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
43.8% (48)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
44.0% (50)
-4.5%
On power play, Cozens has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. McLeod is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Cozens
McLeod
Home
49.0% (600)
50.9% (291)
Away
47.6% (574)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Cozens
McLeod
P1
46.5%
44.3%
P2
52.9%
52.4%
P3
45.2%
47.8%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |