Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.5%). Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Couturier 53.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 75.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 77.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 51.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Cozens
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cozens
Couturier
Last 7: Cozens 3-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Cozens
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
53.4% (758)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
62.9% (70)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.7% (227)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Cozens
Couturier
Home
54.1% (375)
50.7% (517)
Away
52.3% (331)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Cozens
Couturier
P1
55.8%
55.2%
P2
50.6%
53.0%
P3
53.7%
53.3%
OT
40.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
50.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |