Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gambrell wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Staal 50.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 88.4%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 67.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 65.2%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Gambrell
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Gambrell
Staal
Last 6: Gambrell 4-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Gambrell
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
4
1
Gambrell
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,627)
50.5% (10,347)
-3.1%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
53.5% (2,023)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (314)
44.2% (781)
-3.8%
On power play, Staal has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gambrell is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,434).
Gambrell shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Staal
Home
44.3% (994)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
48.1% (980)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Gambrell
Staal
P1
44.3%
50.0%
P2
49.8%
51.1%
P3
44.5%
50.4%
OT
12.5%
55.2%
Final 5 min
44.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Eric Staal |