Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gambrell wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs McLeod 59.6% (-15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 53.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 67.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 58.9%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Gambrell
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gambrell
McLeod
Last 6: Gambrell 3-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
0
Gambrell
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
2
1
Gambrell
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Gambrell
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (266)
61.5% (792)
-15.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
65.2% (23)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (37)
55.6% (153)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Gambrell is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Gambrell shoots right. McLeod is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Gambrell
McLeod
Home
46.6% (161)
62.0% (460)
Away
43.4% (145)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Gambrell
McLeod
P1
44.3%
61.5%
P2
46.6%
63.6%
P3
44.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
42.3%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.1%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |