Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gambrell wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Frost 50.3% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 89.7%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 72.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 68.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Gambrell
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Gambrell
Frost
Last 6: Gambrell 4-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Gambrell
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
3
0
Gambrell
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gambrell
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,627)
49.4% (3,598)
-2.0%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
55.5% (625)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (314)
52.8% (36)
-12.4%
On power play, Frost has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Gambrell is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,434).
Gambrell shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Frost
Home
44.3% (994)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
48.1% (980)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Gambrell
Frost
P1
44.3%
50.8%
P2
49.8%
51.1%
P3
44.5%
48.5%
OT
12.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 06:30 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |