Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gambrell wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 49.0% vs Thomas 49.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 83.1%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 82.4%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.8%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Gambrell
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gambrell
Thomas
Last 7: Gambrell 4-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Gambrell
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
3
1
Gambrell
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
0
Gambrell
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (504)
49.0% (910)
+2.4%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
53.5% (142)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (94)
53.3% (75)
-17.1%
On power play, Thomas has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Gambrell is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Gambrell shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Thomas
Home
46.7% (240)
47.3% (514)
Away
50.3% (364)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Gambrell
Thomas
P1
43.0%
50.4%
P2
53.7%
47.5%
P3
49.8%
51.4%
Final 5 min
44.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |