Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gambrell wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 49.0% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 72.6%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 84.7%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 59.1%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Gambrell
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gambrell
Stamkos
Last 6: Gambrell 2-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Gambrell
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
0
Gambrell
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Gambrell
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (504)
49.3% (789)
+2.1%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
56.9% (181)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (94)
54.1% (98)
-17.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Gambrell is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Gambrell shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Stamkos
Home
46.7% (240)
52.0% (512)
Away
50.3% (364)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Gambrell
Stamkos
P1
43.0%
42.1%
P2
53.7%
56.4%
P3
49.8%
53.7%
Final 5 min
44.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |