Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 49.0% vs Nosek 53.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 85.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 55.5%
Neutral zone
Nosek 68.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Gambrell
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gambrell
Nosek
Last 5: Gambrell 4-1 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
2
0
Gambrell
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gambrell
2
1
Gambrell
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (504)
55.1% (557)
-3.7%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
50.0% (4)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (94)
47.7% (111)
-11.5%
On power play, Nosek has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Gambrell is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Gambrell shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Nosek
Home
46.7% (240)
52.3% (342)
Away
50.3% (364)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Gambrell
Nosek
P1
43.0%
49.0%
P2
53.7%
53.8%
P3
49.8%
57.9%
Final 5 min
44.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:54 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |