Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Gambrell wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Bozak 53.4% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 76.7%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 72.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 52.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Gambrell
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Gambrell
Bozak
Last 8: Gambrell 4-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
3
Gambrell
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
2
1
Gambrell
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,627)
53.7% (9,596)
-6.3%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
55.2% (1,990)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (314)
48.0% (1,094)
-7.6%
On power play, Bozak has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Gambrell is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (540).
Gambrell shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Bozak
Home
44.3% (994)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
48.1% (980)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Gambrell
Bozak
P1
44.3%
53.2%
P2
49.8%
52.8%
P3
44.5%
54.5%
OT
12.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
44.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |