Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Holloway on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holloway 50.3% vs Staal 54.6% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holloway 64.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.0%
Neutral zone
Holloway 55.7%
Result
Dylan Holloway favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Holloway
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Holloway
Staal
Last 5: Holloway 2-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holloway
2
1
Holloway
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Holloway
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holloway
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (46)
56.1% (955)
-10.4%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
66.9% (142)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
43.0% (242)
+57.0%
On penalty kill, Holloway has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Holloway is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Holloway shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Holloway
Staal
Home
60.0% (30)
55.4% (663)
Away
41.4% (29)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Holloway
Staal
P1
43.8%
55.1%
P2
29.4%
54.7%
P3
69.2%
53.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holloway
50.0%▲
45.0%
50.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Dylan Holloway |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Dylan Holloway |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |