Scouting Report
Stefan Noesen holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Holloway wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Noesen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holloway 45.7% vs Noesen 49.2% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Noesen 59.2%
Defensive zone
Holloway 56.4%
Neutral zone
Holloway 52.8%
Result
Dylan Holloway favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Holloway
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holloway
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (127)
48.3% (60)
-5.0%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
38.9% (18)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
71.4% (7)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Noesen has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Holloway is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Holloway shoots left. Noesen is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Holloway
Noesen
Home
48.6% (72)
57.6% (33)
Away
36.6% (71)
42.3% (52)
By Period
Holloway
Noesen
P1
40.0%
37.9%
P2
43.2%
50.0%
P3
45.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
44.1%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holloway
52.0%▲
46.5%
42.7%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%