Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs McCann 46.2% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 56.5%
Defensive zone
McCann 53.1%
Neutral zone
McCann 55.2%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Larkin
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Larkin
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
48.4% (188)
+4.2%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
33.3% (15)
+27.4%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
31.7% (41)
+24.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. McCann is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Larkin
McCann
Home
54.7% (783)
52.8% (125)
Away
54.3% (816)
36.1% (119)
By Period
Larkin
McCann
P1
55.9%
37.7%
P2
56.1%
50.5%
P3
51.1%
45.2%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Jared McCann |