Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 32.8% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 45.5% vs McClement 54.6% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 90.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 67.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 72.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Larkin
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Larkin
McClement
Last 5: Larkin 0-5 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
3
Larkin
McClement
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
1
Larkin
McClement
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
0
1
Larkin
McClement
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (81)
57.6% (540)
-16.9%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
57.1% (7)
-15.0%
On even strength, McClement has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Larkin is 32.8% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Larkin shoots left. McClement is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
Larkin
McClement
Home
44.4% (45)
56.0% (341)
Away
38.2% (55)
54.6% (337)
By Period
Larkin
McClement
P1
46.7%
52.7%
P2
39.3%
55.7%
P3
38.1%
58.3%
Final 5 min
27.3%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
41.0%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Jay McClement |