Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.8%). Look for McClement on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs McClement 52.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 68.7%
Defensive zone
McClement 72.5%
Neutral zone
McClement 57.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Larkin
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Larkin
McClement
Last 5: Larkin 0-5 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
3
Larkin
McClement
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
1
Larkin
McClement
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
0
1
Larkin
McClement
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
54.4% (4,305)
-2.7%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
62.5% (104)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
47.2% (1,440)
+3.0%
On power play, McClement has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Home / Away
Larkin
McClement
Home
54.0% (6,238)
55.4% (2,788)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
50.4% (3,083)
By Period
Larkin
McClement
P1
52.7%
53.5%
P2
53.1%
52.0%
P3
52.1%
53.2%
OT
58.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Jay McClement |