Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Khaira shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Khaira 48.8% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 79.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 52.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 66.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Larkin
Khaira
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larkin
Khaira
Last 5: Larkin 3-2 Khaira
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Khaira
0
1
Larkin
Khaira
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Khaira
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Khaira
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Khaira
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
50.2% (251)
+3.4%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
52.6% (19)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
37.5% (48)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khaira shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Khaira is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Larkin
Khaira
Home
56.6% (700)
48.0% (150)
Away
52.1% (655)
48.8% (168)
By Period
Larkin
Khaira
P1
55.4%
51.0%
P2
54.7%
50.9%
P3
52.7%
43.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |