Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Letestu 53.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 74.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 57.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 65.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Larkin
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Larkin
Letestu
Last 7: Larkin 2-5 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
2
Larkin
Letestu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
2
Larkin
Letestu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Letestu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
53.3% (625)
-4.8%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
59.6% (89)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
50.3% (173)
-1.6%
On even strength, Letestu has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Larkin is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Larkin shoots left. Letestu is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Larkin
Letestu
Home
51.4% (652)
55.8% (421)
Away
48.5% (662)
51.1% (466)
By Period
Larkin
Letestu
P1
49.1%
52.0%
P2
52.0%
55.2%
P3
48.0%
53.4%
OT
52.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 08:06 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |