Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.1%). Look for Letestu on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Letestu 52.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 63.7%
Defensive zone
Letestu 64.0%
Neutral zone
Letestu 52.9%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Larkin
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Larkin
Letestu
Last 8: Larkin 2-6 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
2
Larkin
Letestu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
3
Larkin
Letestu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Letestu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
53.3% (4,565)
-1.6%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
56.0% (687)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
44.2% (1,005)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Home / Away
Larkin
Letestu
Home
54.0% (6,238)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Larkin
Letestu
P1
52.7%
51.5%
P2
53.1%
55.0%
P3
52.1%
49.8%
OT
58.4%
51.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 08:06 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |