Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Thompson 54.3% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 77.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 68.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Larkin
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
55.5% (236)
-3.7%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
60.0% (5)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
56.5% (46)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Larkin
Thompson
Home
55.6% (662)
53.1% (128)
Away
48.3% (542)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Larkin
Thompson
P1
49.9%
59.0%
P2
52.7%
55.4%
P3
53.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%