Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Patrick 51.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 71.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 69.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 70.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Larkin
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Larkin
Patrick
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin
Patrick
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Patrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
0
Larkin
Patrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
50.6% (1,978)
+1.1%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
57.5% (120)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
57.7% (26)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Larkin
Patrick
Home
54.0% (6,238)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Larkin
Patrick
P1
52.7%
52.9%
P2
53.1%
49.1%
P3
52.1%
51.3%
OT
58.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 13:48 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |