Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Sundqvist 43.1% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 82.4%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 50.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 64.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Larkin
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Larkin
Sundqvist
Last 7: Larkin 4-3 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
Larkin
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Sundqvist
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
41.3% (492)
+14.6%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
56.3% (16)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
43.2% (81)
+3.0%
On even strength, Larkin has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Sundqvist is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Larkin
Sundqvist
Home
56.0% (654)
43.3% (275)
Away
54.8% (639)
40.8% (314)
By Period
Larkin
Sundqvist
P1
54.4%
43.3%
P2
55.9%
41.8%
P3
55.2%
40.1%
OT
64.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |