Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Koivula 44.8% (+15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 59.2%
Defensive zone
Koivula 61.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Larkin
Koivula
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larkin
Koivula
Last 5: Larkin 2-3 Koivula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Koivula
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivula
0
1
Larkin
Koivula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Koivula
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
36.4% (55)
+14.6%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
0.0% (3)
+59.5%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
57.1% (7)
-7.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +59.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivula shoots left. Larkin is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Larkin shoots left. Koivula is 32.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Larkin
Koivula
Home
54.9% (721)
35.9% (39)
Away
49.6% (641)
38.5% (26)
By Period
Larkin
Koivula
P1
52.4%
36.0%
P2
50.8%
50.0%
P3
54.4%
29.2%
Final 5 min
57.8%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Koivula
54.0%▲
42.8%
36.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Otto Koivula |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Otto Koivula |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Otto Koivula |