Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Koivula 45.8% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 51.1%
Defensive zone
Koivula 51.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Larkin
Koivula
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larkin
Koivula
Last 5: Larkin 2-3 Koivula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Koivula
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivula
0
1
Larkin
Koivula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Koivula
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
42.3% (123)
+9.4%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
28.6% (7)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
62.5% (8)
-12.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivula shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Koivula is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Larkin
Koivula
Home
54.0% (6,238)
42.6% (101)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
43.2% (37)
By Period
Larkin
Koivula
P1
52.7%
34.8%
P2
53.1%
61.7%
P3
52.1%
31.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
30.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Koivula
54.0%▲
42.8%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Otto Koivula |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Otto Koivula |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Otto Koivula |