Dylan Larkin vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bellemare on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bellemare shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Bellemare 51.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 17-16 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 72.1%
Defensive zone
Bellemare 67.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Larkin
Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
16
(33 meetings)
17
16
Larkin
Bellemare
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Bellemare
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
11
2
Larkin
Bellemare
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bellemare
2
12
Larkin
Bellemare
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
2
Larkin
Bellemare
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
53.4% (5,002)
-1.7%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
58.2% (98)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
45.0% (1,579)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Bellemare is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,120).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bellemare
Home
54.0% (6,238)
53.4% (3,409)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
49.5% (3,270)
By Period
Larkin
Bellemare
P1
52.7%
52.2%
P2
53.1%
51.5%
P3
52.1%
51.2%
OT
58.4%
34.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:34 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Jan 20, 2020 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Jan 20, 2020 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2020 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2020 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Jan 20, 2020 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |