Dylan Larkin vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bellemare shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Bellemare 52.7% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 78.0%
Defensive zone
Bellemare 68.0%
Neutral zone
Bellemare 52.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Larkin
Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larkin
Bellemare
Last 5: Larkin 3-2 Bellemare
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Bellemare
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bellemare
0
2
Larkin
Bellemare
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
53.8% (234)
+2.1%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
75.0% (4)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
51.7% (87)
-5.5%
On power play, Bellemare has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Bellemare is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bellemare
Home
56.0% (654)
51.8% (170)
Away
54.8% (639)
55.5% (155)
By Period
Larkin
Bellemare
P1
54.4%
52.6%
P2
55.9%
51.8%
P3
55.2%
56.3%
OT
64.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |