Dylan Larkin vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.7%). Look for Bellemare on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Bellemare 54.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 60.1%
Defensive zone
Bellemare 67.9%
Neutral zone
Bellemare 58.5%
Result
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Larkin
Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larkin
Bellemare
Last 6: Larkin 4-2 Bellemare
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Bellemare
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bellemare
1
2
Larkin
Bellemare
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Bellemare
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
57.1% (559)
-4.2%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
77.8% (9)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
44.7% (152)
+10.5%
On power play, Bellemare has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. Larkin is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,085).
Larkin shoots left. Bellemare is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bellemare
Home
55.8% (805)
58.0% (357)
Away
53.2% (782)
51.5% (363)
By Period
Larkin
Bellemare
P1
55.2%
54.7%
P2
53.3%
55.1%
P3
55.1%
54.5%
OT
51.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |