Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.7%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Larkin wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.5% vs Nash 49.8% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 79.3%
Defensive zone
Nash 61.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 59.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Larkin
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Larkin
Nash
Last 7: Larkin 6-1 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
0
Larkin
Nash
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Larkin
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (562)
51.2% (283)
-1.7%
Power Play
51.5% (134)
50.0% (2)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
39.0% (41)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Larkin is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Larkin shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Larkin
Nash
Home
48.5% (388)
50.6% (178)
Away
50.6% (342)
48.6% (148)
By Period
Larkin
Nash
P1
52.1%
46.8%
P2
46.9%
45.5%
P3
49.2%
56.4%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |