Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Nash 48.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 26-13 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 93.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 73.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 80.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Larkin
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
13
(39 meetings)
26
13
Larkin
Nash
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
16
3
Larkin
Nash
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
3
5
Larkin
Nash
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
5
Larkin
Nash
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
48.7% (4,621)
+3.0%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
51.0% (249)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
44.9% (550)
+5.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Larkin
Nash
Home
54.0% (6,238)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Larkin
Nash
P1
52.7%
49.0%
P2
53.1%
47.9%
P3
52.1%
48.0%
OT
58.4%
68.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 10:06 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |