Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Sheahan 50.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Sheahan leads 13-13 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 72.0%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 63.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Larkin
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
13
(26 meetings)
13
13
Larkin
Sheahan
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
12
2
Larkin
Sheahan
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
1
6
Larkin
Sheahan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
5
Larkin
Sheahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
51.0% (4,968)
+0.7%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
55.6% (322)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
44.3% (1,068)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Sheahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,993).
Home / Away
Larkin
Sheahan
Home
54.0% (6,238)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Larkin
Sheahan
P1
52.7%
51.3%
P2
53.1%
51.2%
P3
52.1%
48.1%
OT
58.4%
35.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |