Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 89.9%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 55.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 65.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Larkin
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Larkin
Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Sheahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Larkin
Sheahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
50.7% (357)
+1.1%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
50.0% (8)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
40.2% (194)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Sheahan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Larkin
Sheahan
Home
55.6% (662)
44.8% (248)
Away
48.3% (542)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Larkin
Sheahan
P1
49.9%
46.2%
P2
52.7%
50.5%
P3
53.0%
44.7%
OT
68.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |