Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.3%). Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Getzlaf 53.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 56.7%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 53.3%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 59.1%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Larkin
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Larkin
Getzlaf
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Getzlaf
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
54.3% (879)
-1.4%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
62.8% (78)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
43.9% (57)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Larkin is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Larkin shoots left. Getzlaf is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Larkin
Getzlaf
Home
55.8% (805)
56.6% (535)
Away
53.2% (782)
51.8% (479)
By Period
Larkin
Getzlaf
P1
55.2%
55.6%
P2
53.3%
55.7%
P3
55.1%
51.5%
OT
51.7%
58.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |