Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 57.1%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 71.4%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 51.3%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Larkin
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Larkin
Getzlaf
Last 7: Larkin 5-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Larkin
Getzlaf
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
52.5% (772)
-0.7%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
60.8% (153)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
48.0% (100)
-0.6%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Larkin
Getzlaf
Home
55.6% (662)
56.0% (557)
Away
48.3% (542)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Larkin
Getzlaf
P1
49.9%
52.2%
P2
52.7%
53.0%
P3
53.0%
54.9%
OT
68.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2022 | OT | 02:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 31, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |