Dylan Larkin vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.8%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Larkin
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Larkin
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Larkin 2-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Larkin
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Larkin
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
48.3% (633)
+0.2%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
64.6% (48)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
43.0% (86)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Larkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Larkin shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Larkin
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.4% (652)
52.0% (419)
Away
48.5% (662)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Larkin
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.1%
51.5%
P2
52.0%
45.9%
P3
48.0%
48.1%
OT
52.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |