Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Oshie 46.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 71.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 86.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 62.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Larkin
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Larkin
Oshie
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
5
Larkin
Oshie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
0
Larkin
Oshie
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Larkin
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
45.2% (764)
+6.5%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
47.7% (1,221)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
40.2% (164)
+10.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Larkin
Oshie
Home
54.0% (6,238)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Larkin
Oshie
P1
52.7%
47.3%
P2
53.1%
45.2%
P3
52.1%
46.7%
OT
58.4%
40.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |