Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +27.5% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Oshie 43.4% (+27.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 66.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 84.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 60.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Larkin
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Larkin
Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Oshie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Larkin
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
30.0% (30)
+25.9%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
23.1% (13)
+34.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Oshie is 29.4% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Larkin
Oshie
Home
56.0% (654)
22.2% (27)
Away
54.8% (639)
37.5% (16)
By Period
Larkin
Oshie
P1
54.4%
28.6%
P2
55.9%
36.4%
P3
55.2%
18.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
27.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |