Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 46.2% vs Kero 45.4% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 68.3%
Defensive zone
Kero 60.6%
Neutral zone
Kero 53.5%
Result
Tanner Kero favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Larkin
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Larkin
Kero
Last 8: Larkin 3-5 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kero
0
1
Larkin
Kero
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kero
0
2
Larkin
Kero
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
2
Larkin
Kero
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (391)
45.9% (434)
-0.4%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
50.0% (2)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
25.7% (35)
+24.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Larkin is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Larkin shoots left. Kero is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kero
Home
47.0% (181)
47.7% (214)
Away
44.2% (251)
41.6% (257)
By Period
Larkin
Kero
P1
42.7%
44.4%
P2
52.4%
48.5%
P3
41.8%
39.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 2 | 06:07 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 2 | 06:02 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |