Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Blueger 50.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 92.0%
Defensive zone
Blueger 58.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 62.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Larkin
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
10
(27 meetings)
17
10
Larkin
Blueger
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
14
1
Larkin
Blueger
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
6
Larkin
Blueger
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin
Blueger
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
52.3% (3,540)
-0.6%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
50.0% (76)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
42.6% (1,100)
+7.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Blueger is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,198).
Home / Away
Larkin
Blueger
Home
54.0% (6,238)
51.4% (2,403)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
48.6% (2,313)
By Period
Larkin
Blueger
P1
52.7%
49.2%
P2
53.1%
52.3%
P3
52.1%
48.5%
OT
58.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |