Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Blueger 50.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Blueger leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 72.5%
Defensive zone
Blueger 69.3%
Neutral zone
Blueger 57.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Larkin
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Larkin
Blueger
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
0
Larkin
Blueger
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
3
Larkin
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Larkin
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
53.3% (745)
-0.7%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
45.5% (11)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
41.7% (259)
+14.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Larkin
Blueger
Home
54.7% (783)
53.4% (504)
Away
54.3% (816)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Larkin
Blueger
P1
55.9%
46.6%
P2
56.1%
53.0%
P3
51.1%
50.8%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |