Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 50.1% vs Strome 48.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 57.9%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 57.1%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 61.9%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Jarnkrok
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Jarnkrok
Strome
Last 5: Jarnkrok 4-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
1
Jarnkrok
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (301)
47.3% (829)
+3.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
69.0% (58)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
20.0% (10)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Strome is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Strome
Home
53.8% (210)
49.8% (468)
Away
43.8% (121)
46.9% (429)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Strome
P1
48.7%
46.1%
P2
54.0%
52.9%
P3
47.6%
46.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.2%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |