Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Hughes 39.2% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 71.6%
Defensive zone
Hughes 65.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 53.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Strome
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Strome
Hughes
Last 5: Strome 2-3 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Strome
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Strome
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
37.9% (623)
+14.7%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
33.3% (33)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
36.4% (11)
+26.1%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Strome shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Strome
Hughes
Home
53.4% (653)
36.6% (314)
Away
53.9% (634)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Strome
Hughes
P1
49.3%
36.4%
P2
54.6%
35.6%
P3
56.7%
41.8%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |