Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.0% vs Guentzel 47.4% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 50.7%
Defensive zone
Guentzel 51.1%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 55.9%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Strome
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Strome
Guentzel
Last 7: Strome 3-4 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Guentzel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
2
Strome
Guentzel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Guentzel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (856)
49.0% (200)
+7.2%
Power Play
66.4% (298)
42.3% (111)
+24.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
45.8% (24)
-4.1%
On power play, Strome has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Strome is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Strome shoots left. Guentzel is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Strome
Guentzel
Home
55.7% (627)
48.8% (166)
Away
62.2% (539)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Strome
Guentzel
P1
61.6%
46.7%
P2
54.5%
48.5%
P3
60.4%
44.3%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:12 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |