Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Guentzel 46.3% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 76.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 86.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 78.5%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Strome
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Strome
Guentzel
Last 10: Strome 6-4 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
1
Strome
Guentzel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
2
Strome
Guentzel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
4
1
Strome
Guentzel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
46.3% (685)
+3.8%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
45.7% (291)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
42.9% (42)
+2.7%
On power play, Strome has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Strome shoots left. Guentzel is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Strome
Guentzel
Home
51.1% (3,968)
48.3% (544)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
43.2% (474)
By Period
Strome
Guentzel
P1
50.4%
47.8%
P2
52.1%
45.2%
P3
52.3%
45.3%
OT
52.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:12 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:34 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |